Author

Wahab Musa

Subject

- Teknik

Abstract

The necessity of electric power in one region is determined by economy rate and number of population. The volume of energy necessity is projected by using LEAP model. PDRB growth is one of the driver variable which is needed to project energy necessity. The growth projection of PDRB until 2020 will be counted based on the data from statistic center (BPS) of Gorontalo Province. Based on growth projection calculation PDRB of Gorontalo province, until 2020 it will projected into 3 scenario: Basic Scenario, with PDRB growth 7 % every year; Pessimist scenario, with PDRB growth 6 % every year and Optimist scenario, with PDRB growth 8 % every year . In basic scenario with PDRB growth 7 % every year, so hence the electric power necessity will grow on the average 12,9 % every year or electric power necessity in 2004 is about 105.6 GWh and in 2020 will be 739,7 GWh. In pessimist scenario with PDRB is about 6 % every year, therefore the electric power necessity will grow on the average 11.2 % every year or the electric power necessity in 2004 is about 105.6 GWh and in 2020 will be 578.3 GWh. In optimist scenario with PDRB growth 8 % every year, therefore the electric power necessity will grow on the average 14.5 % every year or the electric power necessity in 2004 is about 105.6 GWh and in 2020 will be 942,3 GWh..

Publisher

Jurnal Teknik

Contributor

Penulis Tunggal

Publish

2004

Material Type

ARTIKEL

Right

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